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Experts Warn Trump's SNAP Cuts Could Lead to 70,000 Deaths

A policy shift is unfolding with far-reaching consequences.

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Updated May 8, 2026
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Changes to federal assistance programs don't always show immediate effects, but they can shape financial stability over time. For many households, shifts like these are another reason to prepare yourself financially as policies evolve.

Recent updates to SNAP — the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program — have introduced new eligibility requirements and limits that could significantly reduce participation. Supporters argue these changes encourage independence and reserve benefits for those who are the most needy, while critics warn of unintended consequences tied to reduced access to food. Understanding both perspectives can help put the broader picture into context.

Expanded work requirements are reshaping eligibility

One of the most significant changes involves expanded work requirements for SNAP recipients. Before this change, adults over the age of 54 and parents with children under the age of 18 at home were exempt from SNAP's 80-hour-per-month work requirement.

Under the new law, adults up to age 64, as well as parents with children between the ages of 14 and 17, must meet work-related criteria to maintain benefits. Recipients generally must complete at least 80 hours per month of work or qualifying activities such as volunteering or job training. Those who do not may be limited to three months of benefits in a three-year period.

Some long-standing exemptions have been removed

The law also eliminates several exemptions that previously allowed certain groups to qualify for benefits without meeting work requirements. This includes some veterans, individuals experiencing homelessness, and certain former foster youth.

Removing these exemptions could make it more difficult for vulnerable populations to maintain access to food assistance. Supporters of the policy argue that a more uniform system will get more people working and reduce the poverty rate. However, critics say these changes may disproportionately affect those already facing significant challenges, such as individuals working low-wage jobs who may be more susceptible to economic changes.

Projections suggest a sharp drop in participation

Analysts expect the new requirements to reduce the number of people receiving SNAP benefits. According to the Center for American Progress, expanded work rules alone could reduce monthly participation by roughly 2.4 million people.

This decrease reflects both stricter eligibility criteria and the difficulty some individuals may face in meeting the new requirements. Participation trends will likely depend on how states implement and enforce the rules.

Researchers warn of long-term health impacts

Beyond participation numbers, some analyses have raised concerns about potential health outcomes. Estimates indicate that reduced access to food assistance could be associated with approximately 70,000 additional deaths by 2040.

Changes in benefit eligibility and participation levels could have broader effects on nutrition and overall well-being. At the same time, the full impact will depend on how the policy is implemented and how individuals respond to the new requirements over time.

The USDA says the changes promote self-sufficiency

Under the Trump administration, officials from the USDA are supporting the policy, arguing that the updated rules are designed to encourage workforce participation and long-term independence. The idea here is that expanding work requirements helps ensure benefits are directed toward those most in need.

Advocates of the policy believe this approach can lead to better long-term outcomes for recipients. This reflects a broader debate about the role of assistance programs in economic policy.

Early state data shows noticeable declines

Some early indicators suggest that participation may already be declining in certain areas. In Arizona, for example, SNAP enrollment dropped by roughly 47% within seven months following the law's passage, as per the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.

While it's still early, this data point highlights how quickly policy changes can affect enrollment. The extent of these changes may vary by state and over time. Monitoring these trends will be key to understanding the broader impact.

Bottom line

The latest SNAP changes represent a significant shift in how the program operates, with new requirements that could affect millions of Americans. While supporters emphasize workforce participation and long-term independence, critics point to potential reductions in access to food and associated risks.

Staying informed about how these changes may affect your community — and your own financial situation — can help you make more informed decisions and potentially lower your financial stress over time.

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