If you're a saver and are looking to grow your wealth, the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate hike might make that easier. But the hike spells potential trouble for spenders who need to take out loans or who are paying down credit card balances. The interest rate hike - the first since 2023 - also signals information about where interest rates could be headed next.
Here's what you should know about the hike, what it might mean for interest rates, and how you might want to adjust your financial expectations.
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The Federal Reserve's September 16 interest rate hike
On September 16, the Fed unanimously voted to raise the benchmark interest rate by a quarter percentage point, bringing the overnight funds rate to 3.75%-4%.
Though the increase is a relatively small one, the significance lies in the Fed's change of direction. The Fed hasn't implemented an interest rate increase for more than three years, but the unanimous vote in favor of an interest rate hike signals a significant pivot in approach.
Why the Fed raised the interest rate
Elevated inflation was behind the decision. In a post-meeting statement, the Federal Open Market Committee stated, "Today's policy action will support a timelier return to the Committee's 2 percent goal. The Committee will deliver price stability."
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh echoed that sentiment during a news conference, stating that inflation has remained elevated for too long.
"We must be confident that underlying inflation is moving to our objective clearly and at sufficient speed," Warsh said. "Today, the FOMC decided that this standard has not been satisfied."
He explained that inflation remains above the target rate, and ongoing tensions in the Middle East also impacted the Fed's decision.
What might come next
The September rate increase may not be the only increase for the year. The committee released projections indicating a majority of officials think another rate hike might occur this year; 16 of 18 participants projected another rate increase, and four of those believe another two rate increases might occur.
At this time, no additional rate hike is scheduled or guaranteed. In deciding whether to hike the rate again, the Fed may look at inflation factors, like how the ongoing elevated energy costs might drive up inflation. It's also possible that continued investment in artificial intelligence may drive up inflation and prompt the Fed to consider another hike.
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What the interest rate hike says about the broader interest rate environment
The interest rate hike suggests that interest rates may stay elevated for longer than anticipated, a situation that may benefit savers but cost spenders more. Banks and credit unions tend to closely follow the benchmark interest rate, so individuals with high-yield savings accounts and CDs may see a higher rate that helps them earn more on their money. Given the suggestion that the Fed may hold that rate or even increase it again this year, savers might have ongoing opportunities to earn competitive yields on their cash.
At the same time, interest rates on credit cards may also climb, making it more difficult for individuals to pay down existing balances or take out new loans. Consumers who have been delaying financial decisions in hopes of falling rates may find the rate hike frustrating. Borrowers shouldn't automatically assume cheaper financing is right around the corner because events, like the war with Iran, may quickly alter the economy and prompt the Fed to hold the benchmark interest rate steady or even raise it. Consumers considering major purchases or refinancing may want to evaluate their decisions based on today's numbers, rather than waiting indefinitely for lower rates that might not come anytime soon.
How mortgage rates factor in
The Fed sets a target for the federal funds rate; raising that rate may help regulate inflation, and lowering it may help stimulate a sluggish economy. The federal funds rate often broadly affects financial conditions and other interest rates, but the Fed doesn't directly control consumer borrowing rates.
Mortgage rates, in particular, don't tend to immediately move in correlation with the Fed's interest rate changes. Since mortgages are long-term loans spanning 15 to 30 years, lenders look at numerous factors when setting the rates, including Treasury yields, inflation expectations, and other market forces. A Fed interest hike doesn't necessarily translate into an equivalent hike in mortgage interest rates.
Bottom line
For now, interest rates on products like credit cards and short-term loans may remain elevated. If the Fed hikes rates again later this year, interest rates may remain elevated at least until 2027.
It may be a good idea to review any of your financial plans that depended on rates falling this year. If you were planning to put a major purchase on a credit card or to take out a loan to cover a home renovation, check current rates and consider whether your plans still make financial sense. While interest rates remain elevated, putting extra cash in a high-yield savings account may help you earn interest on your money and get ahead financially as you save up for that larger purchase.
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