15 Most Vulnerable Jobs in America if a Recession Hits

NEWS & TRENDING - JOBS & CAREER NEWS
If a recession occurs in 2024, these professions may be hit harder than others.
Updated May 15, 2024
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Considering how quickly COVID-19 threw the world's economy into turmoil, workers can never be too prepared when it comes to protecting their livelihoods.

While there are several smart money moves to make before a recession, it can be hard to plan for the future when you're worried about job security. But you can try to stay one step ahead.

Here are 15 jobs that could see big cuts should the economy go into recession.

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Tech workers

Nicholas Felix/peopleimages.com/Adobe woman using a computer in a modern office

Jobs in big tech were thought to be a secure career path for young people, but the early 2023 layoffs at major companies like Meta and Amazon suggest otherwise.

And if tech companies let go of employees by the thousands due to fears of a recession, an actual recession could mean even more layoffs.

Tech workers, luckily, are as equipped as anyone to build reliable side hustles.

Hospitality and tourism jobs

New Africa/Adobe receptionist at desk in lobby

Any industry that relies on discretionary income is going to face problems during a recession, so people who work at hotels, airlines, travel agencies, or other areas in the tourism industry may be in for a rough year or so. 

When people don’t have extra money or don’t feel comfortable spending it, they’re not going to be booking vacations. This could be especially harsh since the tourism industry was one of the most severely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Arts and entertainment jobs

Africa Studio/Adobe man in modern art gallery

When people are looking for ways to save, cutting leisure activities — like going to the theater, concerts, museums, and other entertainment venues — is usually one of the first steps.

Since entertainment is technically not a necessity, many people struggling amid a recession won't consider it a priority.

Like the hospitality industry, those who work in arts and entertainment may see their jobs cut until Americans begin to have a bit more discretionary income.

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Retail jobs

pikselstock/Adobe craftswoman with tablet computer in art studio

The retail industry was shaken up by the COVID-19 pandemic, which prompted many people to begin doing most of their shopping online. 

With the transition to online retailers — plus a lack of disposable income forcing people to cut back on spending in general — those who work in brick-and-mortar stores may see their hours cut or their jobs disappear altogether.

One positive may be that the shift to online shopping will open new positions for people who used to work in retail stores.

Real estate

New Africa/Adobe real estate agent giving house key to couple indoors

A looming recession means people are less likely to go house hunting, especially since mortgage rates on average have doubled over the past year. 

Plus, those who remember the housing market crash of the Great Recession are unlikely to want to buy a new home amid another one — even if this recession is less extreme. When homes are not in demand, neither are the agents who sell them.

Anything that could be automated

moodboard/Adobe manual workers manufacturing sheet metal at industry

Business experts expect that many jobs will be vaporized by automation, especially in a recession. 

If a computer program or robot can get a job done faster and on the cheap, companies may spring for that opportunity and cut some staff in the process.

The most vulnerable jobs when it comes to automation include roles in manufacturing, inventory management, and food service.

Service-industry jobs

Fxquadro/Adobe barman is preparing drinks for customers at posh bar

The restaurant industry was another one that was shaken up big time due to COVID-19 and could be at risk again with a looming recession. 

When money is tight, people simply don’t go out as much, putting all sorts of service-industry workers — from wait staff to cooks to hosts and bartenders — at risk.

Even those who pick up a few shifts waiting tables or tending bar a few nights a week to make extra money may want to begin looking for some different side hustles.

Hair stylists and barbers

AntonioDiaz/Adobe hairdresser cutting some hair tips

While we’ll all still need haircuts during a recession, beauty services can get pricey, and many people will decide to skip the salon visit altogether to save cash. 

For some, this could mean just cutting down on how often they visit a salon or barber. For others, it could mean doing haircuts at home.

Casino workers

AntonioDiaz/Adobe card dealer working in a casino

Casino workers are at risk for two reasons. First, people are likely to cut back on gambling when they’re trying to save money or simply no longer have disposable income. 

Second, this is another gig that could be at risk due to automation. With the rise in popularity of digitized games, the need for casino workers may be dwindling.

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Warehouse jobs

ivanko80/Adobe employees walking at logistics center warehouse

Those who work in warehouses may also be at risk in a recession. This is partially due to automation, but it could also be caused by a decline in demand. 

If manufacturing activity is on a decline during a recession, warehouse jobs are likely to begin to vanish as well.

Transportation jobs

petrovalexey/Adobe pilots sitting in  the cockpit at high altitude

Transportation jobs across the board are likely to be affected by a recession. This includes those who work in the trucking industry, on cruises, for airlines, and more.

Any transportation linked to travel is likely to see a decline, which could lead to widespread cuts. Any cutback in manufacturing, warehouse production, and so on could also reduce the need for those who drive trucks or work in delivery.

Accountants

Liubomir/Adobe accountant on paper work inside office

When money is tight, people may decide to stick it out and do their own taxes or manage their own money rather than hire an accountant. 

Plus, recessions will inevitably lead to more businesses failing and shutting down, which means fewer companies where accountants can find work.

Construction

romul014/Adobe construction workers having meeting

Construction workers may see a decrease in demand for their services as individual households and companies avoid embarking on big and expensive renovation projects. 

When money is tight, companies are less likely to build and will be more focused on maintaining what they already own.

People who own their own homes may also put off unnecessary projects or planned renovations until the economy is looking a little less bleak.

Sports and leisure jobs

Bojan/Adobe woman doing push-ups with assistance of her female personal trainer

The sports and leisure industries may also be hit hard as people cut back on unnecessary activities that could take a toll on their wallets. 

Consumers may no longer feel comfortable shelling out cash for tickets to games, jerseys, sports equipment, or leisure activities like golf.

Those who work in these industries may see a reduction in hours, or have their jobs cut altogether, until the average American pockets a bit more disposable income.

Motor vehicles salespeople

couple/Adobe couple buying new car at dealership

Like many of the other jobs on this list, those who sell cars may have fewer opportunities when the average family is focused on tightening their belts.

The same is true (perhaps even more so) for people who sell other motor vehicles like RVs, boats, and motorcycles.

When money is tight, people are more likely to invest in the cars or vehicles they already have rather — and perhaps lower car insurance — than splurge on a new one.

Bottom line

Srdjan/Adobe woman loosing her concentration because of slow internet connection

Unfortunately, many of us don’t consider the possibility of recession when we're choosing the best career to fit our interests. 

There are simply so many other aspects to think about when you're just trying to stop living paycheck to paycheck.

While some jobs — like doctors and electricians — may be a bit more recession-proof than others, that doesn't mean everyone with an at-risk job will see their livelihood destroyed due to a recession. 

If the COVID-19 pandemic taught us anything, it’s just how many industries have the ability to bounce back in a huge way.

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Author Details

Laura Gesualdi-Gilmore Laura Gesualdi-Gilmore is a seasoned freelance writer who also teaches writing courses at Rutgers University. She's based in Jersey City and enjoys travel, live music and, of course, spending quality time with her pup.

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